The medical community doesn’t know the real reason at all why infectious respiratory diseases outbreaks are in winter

Wenbin Zhao
9 min readNov 23, 2021

Health experts also don’t know some nature of the transmission of infectious respiratory pathogens, so they have made a lot of mistakes about ending this COVID pandemic, and so I must speak out.

Please watch the following ABC News World News Tonight videos first, from the indicated starting time to the ending time, and read the excerpts from the transcripts:

October 07, 2020

Video CDC acknowledges airborne transmission of COVID-19 is possible — ABC News (go.com)

0:25–0:35

As colder weather forces more Americans indoors, the CDC is finally acknowledging airborne transmission of the virus is possible.

October 15, 2020

Video COVID-19 vaccine trial begins testing children — ABC News (go.com)

1:15–1:25

As colder weather sends more people indoors, cases of the virus surging in 35 states. Hospitalizations climbing in 36 states.

October 16, 2020

Video Man becomes 3rd known person in US to be infected twice by COVID-19 — ABC News (go.com)

0:00–0:10

The questions tonight will include handling of the coronavirus, especially with this country now seeing a spike in cases in 38 states now, with the colder weather and more people indoors.

October 21, 2020

Video COVID-19 cases continue to surge across the US — ABC News (go.com)

0:00–0:10

One of the issues for the debate will be the handling of coronavirus in this country, particularly as we see these alarming numbers with the colder weather here and Americans going indoors.

October 27, 2020

Video US marks highest number of new COVID-19 cases in a 48-hour period — ABC News (go.com)

0:50–1:10

Tonight, fears of colder weather and more time indoors fueling the spread of the virus, now a reality. The country marking the highest number of new cases in a 48-hour period since the pandemic began.

November 13, 2020

Video Governors, mayors implement new mandates to curb COVID-19 — ABC News

0:00–0:20

And we were warned this would happen, with the colder weather here and Americans going indoors, tonight, new numbers on the coronavirus, well more than 100,000 new cases of the virus in just 24 hours. Several days straight.

November 16, 2020

Video New evidence suggests COVID-19 remains unchecked in many communities — ABC News (go.com)

0:00–0:20

We begin with alarming new evidence covid-19 is racing unchecked through many communities, as colder weather pushes people indoors, and with the Thanksgiving holiday rapidly approaching. Disturbing new images from El Paso, Texas, show a system under siege.

November 12, 2021

Video COVID-19 cases rising in 22 states — ABC News (go.com)

0:00–0:15

The alarming new numbers on COVID cases in this country, for the first time in months, COVID cases nationwide now on the rise. Authorities are pointing to the change of seasons, more Americans indoors and near one another.

You can see from these videos that medical community thinks that the colder weather sending more people indoors is the reason why respiratory infectious diseases outbreaks are in winter.

But they are absolutely wrong.

I started to think about this question more than three years ago when I watched ABC News on the flu outbreaks in the U.S., I got the answer by the end of 2018.

Please keep in mind, we are human beings, not animals, we spend most of the time indoors, we sleep indoors, we dine indoors, and we work indoors, and even some people exercise indoors whether in spring, summer, fall or winter.

If the winter average indoors time is 98%, the spring and fall average indoors times are all more than 90%. And in summer, if there is a heat wave, the average indoors time may be more than 99%, but you have never seen a flu outbreak in summer.

So people spending more time indoors in winter is not the reason why infectious respiratory diseases outbreaks are in winter.

I also have some practical experience that can prove that, I grew up in a Chinese rural area, when I was a boy and when there was a flu outbreak, my parents, my mother and father told me the cold and dry weather led to the flu outbreak, it was impossible for the weather to become warmer immediately, so when there was a flu outbreak they were all anxiously looking forward to a snow, and if it started to snow, the infecting rate really started getting lower immediately.

Keep in mind, in fact, when it snowed, it was getting colder, and people really spent more time indoors than when it didn’t snow, but the number of infections was really going down when it snowed.

So spending more time indoors is not the reason of the flu or other infectious respiratory diseases outbreaks.

What’s the reason?

Why dried yeast can survive forever? Why frozen yeast can survive forever? Because their metabolism is zero when they are dry or frozen.

All microorganisms’ metabolism is slow when the environment is drier or/and colder, including infectious respiratory viruses. If their metabolism is slower they survive longer, if their metabolism is zero they can survive forever.

In winter it’s cold and dry, so the virus can survive longer in our environment, so there are much, much, much more surviving virus in our environment in winter, this is exactly the reason why infections respiratory diseases outbreaks are in winter. When it snows, it’s getting wet, and when the snow melts the virus gets more moisture, getting more moisture just like getting warmer can prompt the virus to die more quickly, that’s the reason why my mother and father were looking forward to a snow when there was a flu outbreak in winter.

You know health experts have made a lot of mistakes about COVID-19, why?

Because they don’t know the nature or the science of how respiratory infectious pathogens are transmitting, this is a matter of physics, they do not know physics well, so they made a lot of mistakes.

I really have been studying the respiratory infectious pathogens’ transmitting for years, so I know this nature and this science.

In March 2020, I concluded that wearing cotton gloves and masks simultaneously can end any infectious respiratory pathogens’ pandemic very easily, I emailed my idea to the U.S. CDC at that time, but have not got their attention yet.

Here are two facts proving that I know these sciences very well.

On Jan. 26, 2020, I told a group of my friends and relatives on our social media WeChat, “Not only to wear masks but also gloves,” it took me the whole previous night to figure out the glove measure. Following are the 3 snip screenshots from my WeChat in my phone *(f01), they are the evidence certifying when I thought of gloves (not only cotton gloves.) These chats are in Chinese.

f01, The 3 snip screenshots from my WeChat in my phone

When I watched ABC News on Feb. 7 (U.S. time Feb. 6, 2020), ABC News chief medical correspondent Dr. Jen Ashton said, “Doctor Fauci himself told me that the size of the corona virus particle is so small that it can infiltrate these surgical masks, so there is no evidence that they are effective in protecting a healthy person.” Please watch from 5:56 to 6:10 of this video at:
https://abcnews.go.com/Health/video/home-researchers-working-furiously-learn-vaccine-coronavirus-works-68786300

Now, you can see Dr. Fauci was wrong about masks at first, but I was correct.

I predicted in my email to the U.S. CDC on July 31, 2020 and in my paper posted on Aug. 11, 2020 on Medium at:

https://medium.com/@wenbinzhao65/cotton-fabric-or-cloth-gloves-are-the-game-changer-to-solve-the-covid-19-pandemic-41b002ce7b4c

I wrote, “Even people don’t trust me, but with more people believing in masks and wearing masks, I’m pretty sure the flu outbreaks in the U.S. will be very weak this winter.”

This prediction of mine has already been verified by the U.S. CDC, please watch this Feb. 17, 2021 ABC News video at:

https://abcnews.go.com/WNT/video/cdc-lowest-rate-flu-related-hospitalizations-75956447

This video saying, “Well, we can take this, there was encouraging news today on the flu-season here in the U.S., the CDC reporting the lowest rate of flu-related hospitalizations since it began keeping records. 165 hospitalizations, 165 between October 1 and early February compared to 400,000 in that time last year. An increase in flu shots, masks and social distancing making the difference. ”

But Dr. Fauci did not realized that the current public health measures, like masks, could very effectively block the spread of other respiratory pathogens including the flu, in September of 2020, it looked like he thought the flu outbreaks in the 2020 fall and winter in the U.S. would be as same as previous years, and so he was worried about the flu. ABC News host David Muir said on Sep. 27, 2020, “Dr. Fauci has said, we need to be at 10,000 cases a day as we head into the fall flu season to tackle this pandemic.” Watch from 0:26 to 0:35 of this video at:
https://abcnews.go.com/WNT/video/york-state-sees-positive-test-rate-increase-multiple-73299121

Now, you can also see in September 2020, Dr. Fauci was worried about the 2020 flu season in the U.S., but I predicted in July 2020 that the flu outbreaks would be very weak in the winter. The outcome was that my prediction is absolutely correct.

These two facts all have solid evidence.

Now I would like to emphasize that my cotton glove blocking respiratory infectious pathogens theory are not speculation but scientific conclusion. Let me explain the science why I concluded in 2020 summer that the flu outbreaks would be very weak in 2020 winter in the U.S.

Health experts have not found the following sciences:

1. All infectious respiratory viruses are transmitting in exactly the same ways.

2. If infectious respiratory virus A is more contagious than virus B that means virus A can survive longer than virus B at the same temperature and humidity.

3. The temperature and the humidity are higher, the viruses are dying quicker, because their metabolism is higher. So the viruses survive longer in winter (cold and dry) than in summer.

4. Under the same physics measures, the less contagious virus B disappears sooner than the more contagious virus A.

We all know that flu outbreaks are in fall and winter in the U.S., not in summer, but we saw COVID-19 surged in last summer in the U.S., that means COVID-19 can survive longer than the flu, and COVID-19 is more contagious than the flu. We also know people were wearing masks in 2020 summer in the U.S., to block COVID-19. I knew people would still wear masks in 2020 winter in the U.S., according to the above 4 sciences, I knew as far early as 2020 summer that the masks will also block the flu in 2020 winter in the U.S., since the flu is less contagious than COVID-19, under the same measures (mask wearing), the flu cases would certainly reduce significantly, so I predicated in 2020 summer that the flu outbreaks in the U.S. in 2020 winter would be very weak. You know the outcome has verified my prediction. In fact, it was not a prediction, it really was a scientific conclusion.

As for the upcoming winter flu season:

if there are still a lot of people unvaccinated for COVID yet this winter, maybe Delta variant will surge again this winter, people will still wear masks (take these physics measures), if that’s the case, maybe we will see very few flu hospitalizations this winter or not at all.

If there are enough people vaccinated for COVID this winter, Delta variant will not surge this winter, people will not wear masks (not take these physics measures), if that’s the case, maybe we will see more flu hospitalizations than last flu season (165 flu hospitalizations last season), but I don’t think it will be more than 10,000 flu hospitalizations, still far less than the previous season 400,000 hospitalizations, because physics measures have already reduced the amount of living flu in our environment significantly.

According to the nature or science of the transmission of respiratory infectious pathogens, we will never see a so-called Twindemic of both COVID and the flu, because if there is respiratory virus pandemic, we will certainly take some physics measures, and these physics measures will certainly beat the less contagious virus first. So, you will never see a twindemic.

You can also pay attention to this conclusion of me, I’m sure you will find it absolutely correct again in next February or March.

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